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What a week! Investors can justifiably complain about whiplash after the turbulent market gyrations in stocks and bonds, which seems likely to continue.
Trillions of dollars traded hands as investors and countries struggled to make sense of President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs, his subsequent 90-day pause and the exploding trade war with China. Despite his public confidence, Trump confessed Thursday that there will be “transition problems” as he presses ahead.
Even with some of the global tariffs paused, Singapore was left with a 10% levy on its US exports while China faces a whopping 145% duty. Unless things change soon, decoupling of the world’s two biggest economies is fully underway.
Singapore PM Lawrence Wong warned lawmakers about tariff turbulence ahead.*Photographer: EDGAR SU/AFP*
We have a raft of coverage on how to navigate the turmoil. Find out how to “recession-proof” your portfolio, learn why you should save up before you stock up and read what Trump is trying to accomplish with the chaos. There’s even a handy glossary to the terminology of market meltdowns.
To understand what it all means for the individual investor in our region, I spoke with Alfred Chia, chief executive officer of financial advisory firm SingCapital. Chia had three key pieces of advice for Asia-based investors: evaluate your portfolios, stay calm and hedge for stability.
“Long-term investors know that volatility is a feature of markets, not a flaw,” Chia said. “This is not the time to panic, but a time to be strategic.”
That means avoiding emotional decision-making, looking carefully for buying opportunities with “strong companies with global revenue streams,” and not worrying too much about whether markets have truly bottomed out. In sum, “value hunting can begin,” Chia said. He also advised diversifying across currencies.
With CEOs and Wall Street struggling to stay on top of it all, one thing is clear: volatility is here to stay. Prime Minister Lawrence Wong warned as much when he spoke to lawmakers on April 8, saying the “rules-based trading system” is at risk and that the country’s forecast of 1%-3% GDP growth may need to be revised.
“Singapore may or may not go into recession this year,” Wong said, before adding that “I have no doubt our growth will be significantly impacted.”=rewrit this remove people and kkeeop it funny and vlaue propositino is how to survive tariff caos